000 ABNT20 KNHC 301141 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a tropical wave over the western Caribbean Sea. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive during the next couple of days, but land interaction will likely limit significant development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula Sunday and Sunday night. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development once the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven