000
ABNT20 KNHC 300501
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave moving into the western Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive over
the weekend, but land interaction will likely limit significant
development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula
on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
some gradual development once the system moves into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan