000 ABNT20 KNHC 181717 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles remains limited and disorganized. Environmental conditions have become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila