000 ABNT20 KNHC 281732 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has increased this afternoon, but remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch