000
ABNT20 KNHC 302338
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite and radar images indicate that showers and thunderstorms
associated with the low pressure area located about 90 miles east of
Vero Beach, Florida, have changed little in organization during the
last few hours.  Environmental conditions continue to be favorable
for development, and only a slight increase in the organization and
persistence of the thunderstorm activity would result in the
formation of a tropical depression.  The low is moving
southwestward at about 5 mph, but is expected to turn westward
tonight and northward by Wednesday when it will be near the east
coast of Florida.  If this system becomes a tropical cyclone, a
tropical storm watch could be required for portions of the central
or northern Atlantic coast of Florida. A turn toward the northeast
near the southeastern U.S. coast is expected by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown