000 ABNT20 KNHC 051738 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a stationary low pressure area over the southern Bay of Campeche. Despite strong upper-level winds, some development of this system is possible over the next day or two while the lows drifts generally northwestward near eastern Mexico. This disturbance will continue to produce extremely heavy rains, along with life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake