000
ABNT20 KNHC 271720
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS
PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1000 MILES MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A NON-TROPICAL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM BY FRIDAY...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD
BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE 48 HOURS...
AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART