000
ABNT20 KNHC 180500
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC OCEAN IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
SATELLITE AND SHIP DATA INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING GALE
FORCE WINDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE
FOR THE LOW TO ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD.  AFTER THAT TIME...CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND A HIGH CHANCE...
70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE 
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN