000
ABNT20 KNHC 031740
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM NEAR PUERTO RICO
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
BROAD AND WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHILE THE
LOW DRIFTS WESTWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN