000 ABNT20 KNHC 292349 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. ALTHOUGH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A WELL-DEVELOPED CIRCULATION IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...THERE ARE NO INDICATIONS OF A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION....AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY WELL TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...AND COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART