000
ABNT20 KNHC 281140
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUL 28 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...
IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS A
FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  THIS
ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...PASSING NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO TODAY AND MONDAY...AND MOVING OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN BAHAMAS BY EARLY TUESDAY.  ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION...AND
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE LATER TODAY.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH OVER COLD
WATER.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG