000
ABNT20 KNHC 231134
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED
THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED...SOME
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS STILL POSSIBLE LATER
TODAY BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART