000 ABNT20 KNHC 162333 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA... BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN