000
ABNT20 KNHC 191736
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT COULD BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE IN A DAY
OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN