000 ABNT20 KNHC 191147 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS DISTURBANCE IS INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN