000
ABNT20 KNHC 100530
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED IN
COVERAGE DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF THE DAYS
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A FEW
DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE LATER TODAY...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN