000
ABNT20 KNHC 071734
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 7 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS STILL POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY OR TWO BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... THIS DISTURBANCE COULD
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART