000 ABNT20 KNHC 301728 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS FORMED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY LIMITED... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN