000
ABNT20 KNHC 171137
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ACROSS MUCH
OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A
COLD FRONT LATER TODAY BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST OF LOUISIANA BY
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. HOWEVER...THIS DISTURBANCE IS STILL
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINIMAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN WINDWARD
ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT 
MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART