000 ABNT20 KNHC 160534 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 1080 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY MARGINAL FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN