000
ABNT20 KNHC 072355
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LESLIE...LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...
AND ON HURRICANE MICHAEL...LOCATED ABOUT 930 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE AZORES.

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY MORE CONDUCIVE
FOR DEVELOPMENT BEFORE THE LOW IS ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT IN A DAY
OR TWO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG