000
ABNT20 KNHC 251150
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC...LOCATED ABOUT 95 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO
CUBA.

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION JOYCE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR THE SYSTEM TO REGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20
MPH.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI