000 ABNT20 KNHC 220555 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED AUG 22 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ISAAC...LOCATED ABOUT 345 MILES EAST OF GUADELOUPE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TODAY AS THE LOW MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD MOVE FARTHER INLAND...AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI