000
ABNT20 KNHC 151739
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 630 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM 
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWARD AT 15 MPH TODAY...AND TURNS NORTHEASTWARD TOMORROW.

A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...IS
LOCATED OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THIS DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH ACROSS
GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART