000
ABNT20 KNHC 142336
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS  AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.  ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF
A SURFACE CIRCULATION AND PRESSURES ARE HIGH...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.   THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN
NORTHWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. 

A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...HAS
MOVED INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
NOT EXPECTED AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN