000
ABNT20 KNHC 140545
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...IS
PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEST-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA.  ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION...SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT EXPECTED BEFORE THE WAVE BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA
LATER TODAY.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  HEAVY
RAINS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  SINCE THE
WAVE COULD REACH THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA LATER THIS MORNING...
THE AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED FOR THIS
AFTERNOON MAY BE CANCELED.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT
1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ONLY LIMITED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG