000
ABNT20 KNHC 131751
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ARE MOVING OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AND PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN NORTHWARD TO HISPANIOLA
AND JAMAICA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD HONDURAS...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 
20 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED 
TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROUGH OF 
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE BY WEDNESDAY.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART