000
ABNT20 KNHC 130534
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 13 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...
MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD TO HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR
REGENERATION...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE
SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ALTHOUGH
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE AFTER THAT
TIME.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH