000
ABNT20 KNHC 122331
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 12 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...
MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR ARUBA
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH.

THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 900 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE
CONDUCIVE AFTER THAT TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE