000
ABNT20 KNHC 040545
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 4 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERNESTO LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...AND ON
NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CUBA
NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS MAY BECOME MORE
CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH...DEVELOPMENT COULD BE INHIBITED DUE
TO LAND INTERACTION AS THE TROUGH MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN