000
ABNT20 KNHC 010538
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
HAVE NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. 

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER HISPANIOLA...PUERTO
RICO...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE IS NOT
EXPECTED AND IT HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE WILL SPREAD
ACROSS EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI