000
ABNT20 KNHC 222336
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN JUL 22 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF FLORIDA DURING THE DAY OR SO
AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BLAKE