000 ABNT20 KNHC 041734 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO...AND OVER ADJACENT WATERS. A WIND GUST TO 46 MPH WAS REPORTED EARLIER TODAY IN A BRIEF SQUALL AT ST. CROIX. GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER SQUALLS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN