000
ABNT20 KNHC 210533
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU JUN 21 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM CHRIS...LOCATED ABOUT 635 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND.

A SHARP TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE BAHAMAS.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE BY
THAT TIME AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA...SOUTHERN FLORIDA...THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THROUGH SATURDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN