000
ABNT20 KNHC 201139
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM CHRIS...LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND.

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY ACROSS THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...CUBA...THE BAHAMAS...AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS...
ESPECIALLY IN CUBA WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM 
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT3.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON CHRIS ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT23
KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT3.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BROWN