000
ABNT20 KNHC 300531
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
ABOUT 350 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS
BECOME BETTER DEFINED THIS EVENING.  HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED
SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT AROUND
15 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN