000
ABNT20 KNHC 220535
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT
900 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA.  THIS LOW...WHICH CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
GALE-FORCE WINDS...STILL HAS SOME FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AND
SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT APPEARS A LITTLE LESS LIKELY.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI