000
ABNT20 KNHC 211747
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE
LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 875 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA HAS
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED. RECENT SATELLITE DATA ALSO INDICATE
THAT WINDS OF GALE-FORCE ARE OCCURRING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
SYSTEM. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...ALTHOUGH THIS DEVELOPMENT COULD BE EITHER SUBTROPICAL OR
FRONTAL IN NATURE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS LARGE WEATHER SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN