000
ABNT20 KNHC 201738
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
ABOUT 600 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN