000
ABNT20 KNHC 200555
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM NEARBY SHIPS
INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 650 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...CONTINUED SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT 
MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO A REGION OF MORE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART