000
ABNT20 KNHC 192331
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT
700 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  WHILE THE ASSOCIATED
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ARE POORLY ORGANIZED...CONTINUED SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
30 PERCENT...OF SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION FROM THIS
SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN