000
ABNT20 KNHC 191141
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BAND OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN
EXTENDS APPROXIMATELY 800 TO 900 MILES EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION
BETWEEN A SURFACE TROUGH...A TROPICAL WAVE...AND AN UPPER-LEVEL
LOW.  THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE
YESTERDAY...BUT A SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE.  THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA