000
ABNT20 KNHC 190535
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AND ELONGATED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CONTINUES OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN APPROXIMATELY 800 TO 9000 MILES EAST AND
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN A SURFACE TROUGH...A TROPICAL WAVE...AND AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW.  SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM DRIFTS
GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND IT HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN