000
ABNT20 KNHC 080544
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST TUE NOV 8 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 460 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER 
AN AREA EXTENDING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF
THE CENTER. RECENT SATELLITE INFORMATION INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED AND THAT GALE-FORCE WINDS
HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED CLOSE TO THE SURFACE CENTER. IN ADDITION...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THEN
ADVISORIES COULD BEEN INITIATED ON THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA LATER
THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
DRIFTS WESTWARD TODAY...AND THEN TURNS NORTHWESTWARD BY WEDNESDAY.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1...AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART