000
ABNT20 KNHC 300550
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 30 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH 
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY TO DRY AIR ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR 
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WEAK DISTURBANCE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING 
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH TODAY.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART