000
ABNT20 KNHC 292332
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND IT HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH SUNDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN