000
ABNT20 KNHC 252348
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA HAVE CONTINUED TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY
AND ORGANIZATION.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 15 MPH OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG