000 ABNT20 KNHC 251758 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO. A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER ARUBA...CURACAO AND BONAIRE...THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... PLEASE SEE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN