000
ABNT20 KNHC 242347
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED HURRICANE RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
GRAND CAYMAN.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES NORTH OF
MARGARITA ISLAND VENEZUELA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...BUT THEY COULD BECOME
SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHEN THE LARGE
DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO THROUGH TONIGHT. 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART