000 ABNT20 KNHC 241733 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BROWN